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10/10 1000 Guineas Dosage Profiles

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  • 10/10 1000 Guineas Dosage Profiles

    All the last 10 1000 Guineas winners met the Dosage Profile below:

    Brilliant - High: 12, Low: 2
    Intermediate - High: 6, Low: 0
    Classic - High: 28, Low: 5
    Solid - High: 13, Low: 0
    Professional - High: 2, Low: 0
    Dosage Index - High: 3.67, Low: 0.93
    Centre Of Distribution - High: 1.0, Low: 0.13


    Sky Lantern 2 - 2 - 10 - 0 - 0 - 1.8 - 0.43
    Homecoming Queen 5 - 6 - 11 - 1 - 1 - 2.2 - 0.54
    Blue Bunting 3 - 2 - 18 - 0 - 1 - 1.4 - 0.25
    Special Duty 6 - 1 - 10 - 1 - 0 - 2.0 - 0.67
    Ghanaati 10 - 3 - 27 - 2 - 0 - 1.71 - 0.5
    Natagora 3 - 0 - 5 - 0 - 0 - 2.2 - 0.75
    Finsceal Beo 12 - 6 - 8 - 2 - 0 - 3.67 - 1.0
    Speciosa 5 - 4 - 13 - 2 - 2 - 1.48 - 0.31
    Virginia Waters 11 - 2 - 28 - 13 - 2 - 0.93 - 0.13
    Attraction 3 - 0 - 9 - 0 - 0 - 1.67 - 0.5


    That can be squeezed a little bit further:

    Brilliant range: 3-11 (8 from last 10 winners)
    Intermediate range: 0-6 (10 from 10)
    Classic: 8-28 (9 from 10)
    Solid: 0-2 (8 from 10, perhaps more significant is 8 from 8)
    Professional: 0-2 (10 from 10)


    Miss France 1 2 9 0 0 1.67 0.33
    Tapestry 8 2 16 4 0 1.5 0.47
    Rizeena 4 3 9 0 0 2.56 0.69
    Ihtimal 3 0 17 2 0 1.1 0.18
    My Titania 3 3 8 0 0 2.5 0.64
    Indonesienne 5 0 12 1 2 1.22 0.25
    Lesstalk In Paris 3 5 8 0 0 3 0.69
    Al Thakhira 3 3 9 0 1 1.91 0.44
    Kiyoshi 1 4 4 0 1 2.33 0.4
    Lucky Kristale 1 2 10 1 0 1.33 0.21
    Amazing Maria 3 3 8 0 0 2.5 0.64
    Vorda 4 3 9 0 0 2.56 0.69
    Balansiya 1 0 12 0 1 1 0
    Carla Bianca 1 2 6 1 0 1.5 0.3
    Dazzling 5 2 15 4 0 1.26 0.31
    Flying Jib 2 6 13 3 0 1.53 0.29
    Marvellous 5 1 12 4 0 1.2 0.32
    Night Song 2 3 8 1 0 1.8 0.43
    Royalmania 9 7 13 1 0 3 0.8
    Sandiva 1 0 12 2 1 0.78 -0.13

    Or if you're willing to cut it down using 8/10 patterns

    Tapestry 8 2 16 4 0 1.5 0.47
    Rizeena 4 3 9 0 0 2.56 0.69
    Ihtimal 3 0 17 2 0 1.1 0.18
    My Titania 3 3 8 0 0 2.5 0.64
    Indonesienne 5 0 12 1 2 1.22 0.25
    Lesstalk In Paris 3 5 8 0 0 3 0.69
    Al Thakhira 3 3 9 0 1 1.91 0.44
    Amazing Maria 3 3 8 0 0 2.5 0.64
    Vorda 4 3 9 0 0 2.56 0.69
    Dazzling 5 2 15 4 0 1.26 0.31
    Flying Jib 2 6 13 3 0 1.53 0.29
    Marvellous 5 1 12 4 0 1.2 0.32
    Night Song 2 3 8 1 0 1.8 0.43

    Which leaves these to concentrate on through typical Dosage profiles

    Rizeena 4 3 9 0 0 2.56 0.69
    Ihtimal 3 0 17 2 0 1.1 0.18
    My Titania 3 3 8 0 0 2.5 0.64
    Indonesienne 5 0 12 1 2 1.22 0.25
    Lesstalk In Paris 3 5 8 0 0 3 0.69
    Al Thakhira 3 3 9 0 1 1.91 0.44
    Amazing Maria 3 3 8 0 0 2.5 0.64
    Vorda 4 3 9 0 0 2.56 0.69
    Dazzling 5 2 15 4 0 1.26 0.31

    As said on the significant race pointers thread

    8/10 had run in at least 5 races before the Guineas
    8/10 had run in a Group Race

    Rizeena (raced in 8 so far)
    Ihtimal (8)
    My Titania (only 3 so far)
    Indonesienne (only 3 so far)
    Lesstalk In Paris (only 3 so far)
    Al Thakhira (only 3 so far)
    Amazing Maria (4 so far, but entered in the Free handicap and the Nell Gwyn)
    Vorda (7)
    Dazzling (only 3 so far)

    That leaves:

    Rizeena
    Ihtimal
    Amazing Maria
    Vorda

    And all four of them have raced in a Group race
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